First Missouri National Bank

Today is a "Quadruple Witching" day on the stock market
Market Forecast
Friday, June 18, 2010

      Home Loan Interest rates are holding steady....but keep an eye on the Global markets as the ripple effect could have some impact on home loan rates.

      Friday's bond market has opened down slightly with no economic data or noticeable stock movements to influence trading. The stock markets are showing modest gains with the Dow up 9 points and the Nasdaq up 3 points. The bond market is currently down 5/32, which should keep this morning's mortgage rates close to yesterday's levels.

      There is no relevant economic data being posted today. However, it may be a fairly active day for the stock markets since today is "quadruple witching." This has to do with stock option expirations that must be executed and really has no direct relation to the bond market. But the higher than normal volatility in stocks when this occurs can influence the broader markets. Sometimes that may lead to funds being moved into or out of bonds, however, it usually does not affect mortgage rates unless the swings in the major indexes are significant.

      Next week is not too busy in terms of economic reports being released. There are a handful of relevant reports scheduled for release in addition to another FOMC meeting and a couple of Treasury auctions that may influence bond trading and therefore mortgage rates.

      None of the relevant data is going to be released Monday. The week's first report comes late Tuesday morning, so the stock markets are likely influence bond trading and mortgage rates Monday. Look for more details on next week's events in Sunday's weekly preview.

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